When President Obama takes the oath of office for the second time, he will also usher in a new era in American power politics. Whereas the old left-wing definition of “who rules” focused on large corporations, banks, energy companies and agribusinesses, the Obama-era power structure represents a major transformation.
This shift stems, in large part, from the movement from a predominately resource and tangible goods-based economy to an information-based one. In the past, political struggles were largely fought over how to divide up the spoils generated by the basic productive economy; labor, investors and management all shared a belief in the ethos of economic growth, manufacturing and resource extraction.
In contrast, today’s new hegemons hail almost entirely from outside the material economy, and many come from outside the realm of the market system entirely. Daniel Bell, in his landmark 1973 The Coming of Post-Industrial Society, may have been the first to identify this ascension to “pre-eminence of the professional and technical class.” This new “priesthood of power,” as he put it, would eventually overturn the traditional hierarchies based on land, corporate and financial assets.
Forty years later the outlines of this transformation are clear. Contrary to the conservative claims of Obama’s “socialist” tendencies, the administration is quite comfortable with such capitalist sectors as entertainment, the news media and the software side of the technology industry, particularly social media. The big difference is these firms derive their fortunes not from the soil and locally crafted manufacturers, but from the manipulation of ideas, concepts and images.
Apple, Google, Facebook, Amazon and Microsoft are far from “the workers of the world,” but closer to modern-day robber barons. Through their own ingenuity, access to capital and often oligopolistic hold on lucrative markets, they have enjoyed one of the greatest accumulations of wealth in recent economic history, even amidst generally declining earnings, rising poverty and inequality among their fellow Americans.
Last year the tech oligarchs emerged as major political players. Microsoft, Google and their employees were the largest private-sector donors to the president. More important still, tech workers also provided the president and his party with a unique set of digital tools that helped identify potential supporters among traditionally uninformed and disinterested voters, particularly among the young.
An even greater beneficiary of the second term will be the administrative class, who by their nature live largely outside the market system. This group, which I call the new clerisy, is based largely in academia and the federal bureaucracy, whose numbers and distinct privileges have grown throughout the past half century.
Even in tough times, high-level academics enjoy tenure and have been largely spared from job cuts. Between late 2007 and mid-2009, the number of U.S. federal workers earning more than $150,000 more than doubled, even as the economy fell into a deep recession. Even as the private sector, and state government employment has fallen, the ranks of federal nomenklatura have swelled so much that Washington, D.C., has replaced New York as the wealthiest region in the country.
As a former professor at the prestigious University of Chicago, and a longtime ally of public-sector unions, Barack Obama’s political persona is all but indistinguishable from these new hierarchies. Their support for him has become critical, particularly as the onetime “hedge fund candidate,” decided to wage a very effective class warfare campaign on the hapless Mitt Romney.
This decreased Obama’s support among the plutocrats, even if they have thrived under his watch, but he made up for this in part by tapping bureaucracies that benefit from expanding government. Indeed the clerisy accounted for five of the top eight sources of Obama’s campaign funding, led by the University of California, the federal workforce, Harvard , Columbia and Stanford. Academic support for Obama was remarkably lock-step: a remarkable 96% of all donations from the Ivy League went to the president, something more reminiscent of Soviet Russia than a properly functioning pluralistic academy.
To understand the possible implications of the new power arrangement, it is critical to understand the nature of the new clerisy. Unlike traditional capitalist power groups, including private-sector organized labor, the clerisy’s power derives not primarily through economic influence per se but through its growing power to inform opinion and regulate everything from how people live to what industries will be allowed to grow, or die.
The clerisy shares a kind of mission which Bell described as the rational “ordering of mass society.” Like the bishops and parish priests of the feudal past, or the public intellectuals, university dons and Anglican worthies of early 19th century Britain, today’s clerisy attempts to impart on the masses today’s distinctly secular “truths,” on issues ranging from the nature of justice, race and gender to the environment. Academics, for example, increasingly regulate speech along politically correct lines, and indoctrinate the young while the media shape their perceptions of reality.
Most distinctive about the clerisy is their unanimity of views. On campus today, there is broad agreement on a host of issues from gay marriage, affirmative action and what are perceived as “women’s” issues to an almost religious environmentalism that is contemptuous toward traditional industry and anything that smacks of traditional middle class suburban values. These views have shaped many of the perceptions of the current millennial generation, whose conversion to the clerical orthodoxy has caught most traditional conservatives utterly flat-footed.
As befits a technological age, the new clerisy also enjoys the sanction of what Bell defined as the “creative elite of scientists.” Prominent examples include the Secretary of Energy, the Nobel Prize-winning physicist David Chu; science advisor John Holdren; NASA’s James Hansen; and the board of the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In the words of New York Times hyper-partisan Charles Blow, Republicans have devolved into the “creationist party.” In contrast Obama reigns gloriously hailed as “the sun king” of official science.
Let’s be clear — this new ascendant class is no threat to either the “one percent,” or even the much smaller decimal groups. Historically, the already rich and large economic interests often profit in a hyper-regulated state; the clerisy’s actions can often stifle competition by increasing the cost of entry for unwelcome new players. Like Cardinal Richelieu or Louis XIV’s finance minister, Jean-Baptiste Colbert, our modern-day dirigistes favor state-directed capital that has benefited, among others, “green” capitalists, Wall Street “too big to fail” firms and, of course, General Motors.
More disturbing still may be the clerisy’s regal disregard for democratic give and take. Both traditional hierarchies, or new ones like the Bolsheviks after the 1917 revolution, disdain popular will as intrinsically lacking in scientific judgment and societal wisdom. Some leading figures in the clerisy, such as former Obama budget advisor Peter Orszag, openly argue for shifting power from naturally contentious elected bodies to credentialed “experts” operating in places Washington, Brussels or the United Nations.
Such experts, of course, see little need for give and take with their intellectual inferiors, in Congress or elsewhere. This attitude is expressed in the administration’s increasing use of executive orders to promote policy goals such as better gun control, reduced greenhouse emissions or reform of immigration. Whatever one’s views on these issues, that they are increasingly settled outside Congress represents a troublesome notion.
Like empowered bureaucrats everywhere, the clerisy also sometimes reserves a nice “taste” for themselves, much as the old bishops and upper clergy indulged in luxury and even prohibited pleasures of the flesh. Just look at the lavish payouts accorded to Orszag and Treasury Secretary-designate Jacob Lew, who, after serving in the bureaucracy, make millions off the same Wall Street firms that have so benefited from administration policies.
So who loses in the new order? Certainly unfashionable companies – oil firms, agribusiness concerns, suburban homebuilders — face tougher times from regulators and the mainstream media . But the biggest losers likely will be the small business-oriented middle class. Not surprisingly Main Street, far more than Wall Street, harbors the gravest pessimism about the president’s second term.
The small business owner, the suburban homeowner, the family farmer or skilled construction tradesperson are intrinsically ill-suited to playing the the insiders’ game in Washington. Played up to at election time, they find their concerns promptly abandoned thereafter, outliers more than ever in a refashioned political order.
Joel Kotkin is executive editor of NewGeography.com and a distinguished presidential fellow in urban futures at Chapman University, and a member of the editorial board of the Orange County Register . He is author of The City: A Global History and The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050. His most recent study, The Rise of Postfamilialism, has been widely discussed and distributed internationally. He lives in Los Angeles, CA.
This piece originally appeared at Forbes.com.
Official White House Photo by Pete Souza.
Comments
259 responses to “The New Power Class Who Will Profit From Obama’s Second Term”
Great piece with great perspective. It’s why I come to this blog. The scariest thing about all of this is the Group Think and moral superiority exhibited by the clerisy. Their collective arrogance and ignorance toward the debt, resource economics, and the basic nature of Man are something to behold. The religious metaphors and comparisons used in describing the characteristics of this corporate, academic, government and media elite are spot on. People who fear the “religious right” should fear this self interested, doctrinaire, meddlesome group every bit as much, if not more.
When it comes to personal interest, the only thing the rightwingers still stand for that matters to me is the second amendment. The rest of what they are about is repugnant. Get it through your heads – Yahweh is an evil myth, as is Allah and all the other gods. There is nothing more evil than evangelism.
The lefties are equally disgusting on many levels – their collectivism is downright tribal, and their blurring of private responsibility with collective responsibility is dangerous because it results in irresponsible, stupid people. But given the choice – and apparently we have to choose – the forward looking left beats the backward looking right.
No one really cares about your historically inaccurate and anti-social views of God.
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They sound a lot like the Progressives of a hundred years ago. Had no use for the lumpenproletariat (let them perish said Beatrice Webb) and favored experts over the market (Thorsten Veblen) or democracy. They were big into eugenics though I don’t necessarily hold that against them. Improving the quality of the population is not a bad goal, it just depends on how you go about it. They had no idea about Hitler and, come to think of it, I don’t think Hitler knew much about genetics. We need to encourage successful middle-class families with stable marriages to have more children and discourage those who are dysfunctional from having children which they are unable to care for. In my opinion.
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This is the best analysis yet of the “chosen ones” of the left.
The author leaves out athletes, non-profits, and any industry controlled by organized labor, however.
The only way to defeat the clericy is to choke off the funds via several measures:
End tenure, enact Right to Work legislation, repeal state and federal income taxes in favor of state and federal sales taxes, and to institute regulatory cost/benefit measures at each step in the process.
The note of alarm concerning this new power class, and particularly its academic component, overlooks the reason for its “one-sided” opinions: that the ideological right and the Republican Party has moved so far to the right, has adopted such radical and indefensible positions, that they are almost uniformly rejected by educated people. People who almost entirely rejected Communist ideology were not by that fact made “right-wing” and people who almost entirely rejected Nazi ideology were not thereby made “left-wing”.
Not indeed, since Nazism was just another manifestation of left wing, socialism with nationalistic hue.
“the Republican Party has moved so far to the right, has adopted such radical and indefensible positions”
This comment is typical of the followers of what the author calls “the new clerisy.” Simply pronounce that dissenting views are radical and indefensible – and are rejected by all right-thinking people. No need to name specific positions and present an argument against those positions.
The “clerisy” has already explained why the opposition’s positions are unacceptable – no need for further discussion.
That’s right. The problem with the rethuglicans is their social Neanderthal-ism. All they are about anymore is running other people’s lives on a personal level – that’s why they nominated a latter day snake theocrat.
And they are just as elitist as any dem – which is why they nominated a vulture capitalist who stole everything he has from people who actually produce.
The fact is, Willard Romney was everything this article is trying to paint on Obama.
People need to understand what socialism really is. It isn’t necessarily an “alternative” to capitalism – that’s apples – oranges. The most extreme “socialism” in America today is found in its rightwing churches, whose goal is to force their evil god on everyone else.
As long as the rethuglicans continue to refuse to separate church and state, they have no valid message.
“Contrary to the conservative claims of Obama’s “socialist” tendencies…” and yet then the post follows describing all of the socialist tendencies of Obama and his ruling clique. If we properly understand what socialism is/was – a neo-feudal reaction to capitalism; creation and ascension to power of the “new clerisy” is its prime example. So is uber-regulated dirigiste state where the politically connected, privileged few profit; so indeed is the disdain, and outright hatred, for the “small business-oriented middle class”, or the “clerisy’s regal disregard for democratic give and take”, among Obama and his cronies.
You may dislike “socialism” as a “simplistic” label, but that is exactly what Obama abhorrent regime is.
No it is not the “old-fashioned” socialism of Soviet Union, or 1970s Western Europe, it is socialism 2.0 of the post-industrial age; nevertheless Obama is taking America down the path of a highly hierarchical social order where privileged few live in luxury and everybody else subsists of what scraps they can get, in many instances steal.
If you visited a feudal pre-revolutionary France, or Eastern Europe in 1960s and 1970s in your handy time machine, except for technology, you would recognize the place as very similar indeed to Obama’s America.
That has to be the most idiotic thing I have read in years. The actual contribution to the general welfare of the media or entertainment doesn’t exist. As for software, it is about a wash – the real contribution it has made to productivity is balanced by the extra effort we have to exert to learn to use it.
And you cannot eat any of that.
A country which follows the path you describe is toast. Somebody has to create REAL things or eventually there will be no real things to consume or real value to trade to those who produce real things.
By attributing all that is bad to the left, almost every assertion in this funhouse mirror is susceptible to counter statement. Consider the big givers to the Romney campaign; the plutocrats, hedge fund captains, carbon energy magnates -ivy leaguers all, along with a clutch of self-seeking casino owners and a couple of misanthropic billionaire pizza franchisers. Consider the laughable assumption that left-directed regulation choses winners, and right-directed deregulation doesn’t. Consider what the right-wing menu currently offers so-called intelligentsia and the coming generation to chose from: burnt-out disproved economic theory, creationism, evangelical true believers, gun fetishism, voter suppression and racism. Maybe there IS a properly functioning pluralistic academy, but the right has opted out of a realistic place in the conversation. Consider that the the writer is nostalgically scapegoating pointy heads. The notion of political correctness is an equal opportunity problem. Consider the PC being applied to the Congress by Tea Party ideologues. Considering the political orientation of this column, calling Charles Blow “hyper-partisan” is also laughable. The traumatic transition to an automated, global information economy has caused much of the lopsided mal-distribution of wealth in the country and globally. Remember the rosy future-forecasts that by now we’d be living in a world of plenty? Well, we are -it just happens to be increasingly badly distributed -by design. Let’s see the right come up with a deregulated solution to that. Maybe Americans for Prosperity and Fox news can help you, but it’s doubtful.
This is an excellent description of our new ruling class. As a side note I would refer the author to the essay and book on this subject by Angelo Codevila. While it is a polemical diatribe, it is, nonetheless instructional. The thing I would like to point out is the lack of analogical categorization that takes place when discussions of this new class occurs. In the above essay, the author describes very well a group of rulers and a group of middle to lower class producers who can be described as the economic backbone of their society. But who do these respective groups represent if they are to be described in relation to similar groups? I think an apt comparison can be drawn between the Ancien’ Regime and the Third Estate combined with the peasantry in eighteenth century France. The Ancien’ Regime, as you recall, consisted of the King, the nobility of the robe, the nobility of the sword, the Farmers General (the tax collecting, sinecured elite with the government monopoly on salt), and various other petit bureaucrats in their own respective sinecures. The latter classes consisted of commercial interests that did not receive special protection from the state, shopkeepers, and peasants both land owners and non-land owners, who provided the labor that kept everything going. We all know how the story ended. What we don’t know is if a similar story will unfold here in the not-too-distant future. What we do know is that the social, economic and cultural distance between these classes continues to grow. And we all know that things that can’t go on forever won’t. See you at the Place de la Concorde.
I think we need to remember Obama only “got” 60 million votes in 2012, He got 68 million votes in 2008. So GOOGLE and all these new “robber-barrons” are not very impressive. I am a young man but would bet OIL and FOOD remain more important than the information society. Manufacturing will always be King. Also, you use the term “robber-barron” pejoratively. At least they left railroads and oil refineries and shipping yards. What do dishonest, left wing professors that become politicians leave in their wake??? WE ARE ABOUT TO FIND OUT!!!
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