Author: Joshua Wright

  • The Spread of Proprietors/Independent Contractors In the US

    A few weeks ago EMSI looked at the states with the largest share of 1099 workers — that is, proprietors/independent contractors, farm workers, and others not covered by unemployment insurance. We found that since 2006 every state (as well as D.C.) has seen growth in noncovered workers.

    Simply put, the number of workers outside traditional employment rolls is on the rise.

    We have since mapped out job growth among 1099 workers in every U.S. county from 2006-2011 to see where this increase in nontraditional employment is most evident. And the data makes the trend even clearer: The majority of counties across the nation have seen at least a small increase in noncovered workers, and some have seen huge increases. This is especially the case in the western and southwestern portions of the U.S.

    It should be emphasized that not all 1099 workers captured in the EMSI Complete dataset are proprietors/independent contractors. However, if we use growth in the 1099 economy as a loose proxy for entrepreneurial behavior (i.e., a backbone for economic growth and business development), it’s very apparent which areas are progressing in that arena and which areas are falling behind.

    The counties with the most 1099 job growth are mostly in fairly isolated areas:

    1, Loving County, Texas, 114% (the least populous county in the US)
    2, Todd County, South Dakota, 81%
    3, Calhoun County, West Virginia, 63%
    4 (tie), Roane County, West Virginia, 57%
    4 (tie), Reagan County, Texas, 57%
    4 (tie), Union County, Florida, 57%
    7 (tie), Wayne County, Utah, 54%
    7 (tie), Shackleford County, Texas, 54%
    9, Ochiltree County, Texas, 53%
    10, Kenedy County, Texas, 52%

    Seven of the top 12 counties, in fact, are in Texas, including Midland County. Oil and gas extraction, the fastest-rising sector for 1099 workers in the US, is driving most of this growth in workers outside the unemployment insurance (UI) system.

    In contrast, the counties showing the biggest job loss in 1099 employment have a more diverse population base:

    1, Ziebach County, South Dakota, -23%
    2 (tie), St. Louis City, Missouri, -15%
    2 (tie), Roanoke County, Virginia, -15%
    4, Ohio County, West Virginia, -14%
    5, Sully County, West Virginia, -13%
    6, Oliver County, North Dakota, -12%
    7 (tie), Marshall County, South Dakota, -11%
    7 (tie), Forsyth County, Georgia, -11%
    9, Pennington County, South Dakota, -10%
    10, Decatur County, Iowa, -9%

  • Infographic: Which Industries Are Growing in Your State?

    EMSI teamed up with Tableau Software to create this industry data display. You can visualize every broad-level (2-digit NAICS) industry by state over the last decade. Also, click on the dot for each state to see the trends for each sector. The bigger the dot, the more jobs that state has in the selected industry. It may take a few seconds to load.

    A few observations:

    1. Right off the bat, you can see the explosive growth of the mining sector nationally over the past few years. If you scroll to mining and oil exploration in the dropdown or isolate it by clicking on the chart, you can see Texas has by far the largest number of jobs among all states. We covered this sector and specific oil and gas extraction occupations in depth recently.

    2. One of the cool things to do is scroll through each year to see the changing complexion of employment. There’s widespread growth projected for most states in 2011, with a few exceptions, but clicking back through the past few years shows a much different picture.

    3. Another intriguing sector is manufacturing. In the last decade, it hasn’t fared well. That much is clear. But notice the tide start to shift in 2010, with Indiana and Michigan showing slight growth. And in 2011, nearly three-quarters of the US is expected to see job expansion.

  • The Explosion of Oil and Gas Extraction Jobs

    From Appalachia to Alaska, the growth is eye-popping. Thousands of new jobs have sprouted up, most well-paying and all boons to their regions. There’s no denying oil and gas extraction jobs are on the rise, and not just in Texas and Oklahoma.

    North Dakota is drilling oil at a blistering pace. Pennsylvania and West Virginia, along with parts of New York and Ohio, are seeing a natural gas boom with their Marcellus Shale reserves. And Colorado, Wyoming, Alaska, and other Western states are adding extraction jobs in droves.

    The six fastest-growing jobs for 2010-11, according to EMSI’s latest quarterly employment data, are related to oil and gas extraction. This includes service unit operators, derrick operators, rotary drill operators, and roustabouts. Each is expected to grow anywhere from 9% to 11% this year, in an otherwise stagnant economy.

    But that’s not all. A mixed bag of other extraction and petroleum-related jobs—wellhead pumpers, all other extraction workers, geological and petroleum technicians—are also expected to see healthy gains. In total, nine of the top 11 fast-growing jobs in the nation are tied in one way or another to oil and gas extraction.

    Occupation

    2010 Jobs

    2011 Jobs

    Change

    % Change

    Service unit operators, oil, gas, and mining

    42,110

    46,766

    4,656

    11%

    Derrick operators, oil and gas

    23,323

    25,747

    2,424

    10%

    Rotary drill operators, oil and gas

    28,116

    30,981

    2,865

    10%

    Roustabouts, oil and gas

    75,636

    82,678

    7,042

    9%

    Helpers, extraction workers

    44,303

    47,247

    2,944

    7%

    Petroleum engineers

    29,063

    30,917

    1,854

    6%

    Biomedical engineers

    16,065

    17,061

    996

    6%

    Wellhead pumpers

    24,186

    25,616

    1,430

    6%

    Extraction workers, all other

    23,423

    24,784

    1,361

    6%

    Geological and petroleum technicians

    35,304

    37,205

    1,901

    5%

    What’s driving this employment spike? A push for increased domestic oil production is certainly a factor, as are technology breakthroughs in collecting massive shale gas deposits. But more subtle shifts are also happening, including how federal and state agencies track the oil and gas extraction workforce.

    A Prime Example

    For a case study on the skyrocketing employment picture on the shale front, just look at Pennsylvania. Without a tax on natural gas extraction and perfectly located to take advantage of the Marcellus Shale formation, parts of the commonwealth have become a hotbed for drilling. More than 3,000 wells have been drilled in the last three years, and much more is expected in coming years.

    Since 2008, Pennsylvania has added more than 15,000 jobs in the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction industry, a 41% jump. Only Texas and Oklahoma have added more of these jobs in the last three years. Meanwhile, North Dakota has seen an 80% jump in employment in this sector, second only to Delaware since 2008.

    Where are these well-performing oil and gas jobs located? We mapped the data for the four fastest-growing jobs — roustabouts, service unit operators, derrick operators, and rotary drill operators. Here’s what we found: Texas and Oklahoma of course have a large percentage of these jobs, but California, Alaska, and other Western states have a fair share, too.

    The map below shows 2-year job growth in these oil and gas extraction jobs for every county in the continental US. Williams County, North Dakota is No. 1 with 1,539 jobs added, which amounts to 80% growth.

    More Than a One-Year Trend

    Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction is expected to grow 6% in the US from 2010-2011. That’s the fastest projected growth among the 20 broadest-level industries—twice the rate in fact, as the next fastest-growing industry (administrative and support and waste management and remediation services,).

    This is hardly a one-year bump, though. Over the last five years, the explosion in the sector has been than staggering—even with a minor employment dip from 2009-2010. The industry added more than 345,000 jobs nationally from 2007 to 2009, and is expected add another 85,000 this year, which equals 11% growth.

    It’s also helpful to break out mining and oil and gas extraction from the broad sector to more specific industries to locate the real driver of the growth. In this case, it’s easy to see: Of the 506,401 new jobs in the sector since 2006, more than 431,000 have been in the crude petroleum and natural gas extraction industry (NAICS 211111). This sub-sector has grown by a whopping 113% nationally in the last six years while mining (except oil and gas) remains at its ’06 employment level.

    Every state except for Maine has added jobs in crude petroleum and natural gas extraction since 2006, with Texas, Oklahoma, California, and Kansas leading the way.

    The Rise of Contract Oil and Gas Workers

    In last month’s GOVERNING Magazine, William Fulton wrote about the “1099 economy”—the shift by employers to hire temporary workers who file a 1099 form with the IRS rather than a W-2 and don’t receive benefits. No other industry has seen this move to 1099 workers more dramatically than mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction.

    A recent EMSI analysis revealed that the share of 1099 workers in this sector increased from 33% in 2005 to 53% in 2010, the biggest percentage jump among the 20 broadest-level industries. Mining, quarrying, and oil, and gas extraction now has the third-highest share of contract workers, behind real estate (74%) and agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting (68%).

    At least part of this influx could be attributed to land owners cashing in on royalties after leasing their property for drilling. Through the quirks of how the Census’ Bureau of Economic Analysis* tracks the oil and gas extraction industry — and how the industry data is tied to occupations — some of these jobs could be counts of landowners who are claiming additional income from oil and gas royalties. If that’s the case, these jobs would be better placed in the real estate and leasing industry.

    Please note: For these reasons, EMSI “noncovered” data (i.e., data on 1099 workers plus more traditional state data, etc.) for oil and gas jobs should be treated with caution. Also, the jobs numbers for 2010 are estimates at this point, so it will take more time to see how these trends play out.

    *The Bureau of Labor Statistics measures only workers covered by unemployment insurance and who thereby file a W-2. EMSI’s “complete” dataset adds proprietors and other “noncovered” workers by combining BLS and state data with various Census datasets.

    Joshua Wright is an editor at EMSI, an Idaho-based economics firm that provides data and analysis to workforce boards, economic development agencies, higher education institutions, and the private sector. He manages the EMSI blog and is a freelance journalist. Contact him here.

    Lead illustration by Mark Beauchamp.