New Geography

Tag: recovery

  • What Jobs?

    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, there were 290,000 more jobs in the US this month than there were last month. Twenty percent of those jobs were added by the federal government. While the federal government added 69,000 new jobs last month, every other level of government – including the post office – cut an average of 2,250 jobs. State governments were hardest hit last month, cutting 5,000 jobs.

    Since April 2009, the federal government has added 119,000 jobs while state and local governments cut 215,000 jobs.

    Compared to April 2009, more than 500,000 jobs have been added in employment services. Another 329,000 jobs were added in the healthcare industry. These must be the “green shoots” that we were so looking forward to last summer because the overall economy lost 1,380,000 jobs in the last year.

    Eighty percent of the jobs increase last month was added in the private sector. Of the jobs created in the private sector, only 22 percent were in goods producing industries; about half of the goods producing jobs added in the last month can be attributed to the bailout of the auto industry. In the last 12 months, the U.S. civilian population increased by 2.1 million persons. The labor force has remained about constant at 154.7 million. The difference – explained in the details of today’s jobs report – is attributable to discouraged workers, involuntary part-time workers, and marginally attached workers.

  • Report on the Jobless Recovery: 18.7% Effective Unemployment Rate in May

    Is the recent talk of “green shoots” coming out of this recession realistic? A recent report from the New America Foundation outlines the strong likelihood of a jobless recession that “could perpetuate the crises in the housing and banking sectors and prevent a sustainable and healthy economic recovery.” A jobless recovery will prevent the wage growth necessary to stimulate business investment, maintain consumption, and pay down debt.

    The report outlines a constructed measure of effective employment: BLS’s measurement of unemployed, 2.2 million marginally attached workers, and 9.1 million workers employed part time only because they can’t find full time work plus another 4.4 million Americans who want to work but gave up the search over a year ago. This results in an 18.68% effective unemployment rate.

    Other highlights from the report:

    • The US economy must add 125,000 jobs per month just to keep pace with population growth.
    • Employment growth is further hindered by continued productivity gains through this recession.
    • As of Q1 2009, only 27% of employers experiencing mass layoffs anticipate rehiring some of the displaced workers.
    • The most severe unemployement and job losses are occurring in sectors comprising the productive economy, precisely the sectors that must grow to shift from the debt-financed growth of the recent past to growth driven by production and consumption made possible by rising incomes.
    • Mass unemployment is now fueling home foreclosures on prime mortgages: 5.7% of prime fixed-rate loans were overdue or in foreclosure last quarter, up from 3.2% a year earlier.

    Read the full report at New American Contract and check out the NAC’s Value Added blog.